México FC vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
GET
0 - 1
MEX
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAG
1 - 3
MEX
15%
22%
62%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 1
ADP
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
MEX
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MEX
0 - 0
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SFN
0 - 0
ADP
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
SFN
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SFN
4 - 0
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
SFN
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SFN
1 - 1
TRC
66%
20%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |