México FC vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
INT
2 - 0
MEX
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MEX
2 - 2
COL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
MEX
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 5
ALC
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATB
2 - 1
MEX
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 0
RVB
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CVI
1 - 2
SFN
6%
16%
78%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SFN
1 - 3
SSR
31%
29%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ADA
3 - 1
SFN
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SFN
5 - 1
ALC
34%
28%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |