México FC vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LEG
2 - 1
MEX
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 2
ALC
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RVB
1 - 2
MEX
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 0
POZ
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ADA
1 - 0
MEX
43%
27%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 2
ALC
31%
23%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
POZ
0 - 0
ARA
67%
21%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
ALC
29%
26%
45%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 2
CDM
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |