Mexicali FC vs Tritones Vallarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
12º
10º
7
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 23 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 21 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
7 | 21 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 18 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 14 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 12 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 11 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 11 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 11 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
15.5% | 85% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
1 - 0
MFC
11%
16%
74%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
DUR
21%
25%
55%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
MFC
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LCU
2 - 0
MFC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DUR
6 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ATS
0 - 1
TRI
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |