Mexicali FC vs Tritones Vallarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
69%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
10º
9º
24
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
MFC
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 3
CFC
16%
22%
63%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
LEO
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LCU
3 - 0
MFC
79%
15%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
CSI
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
LEO
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LCU
0 - 0
TRI
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
CSI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 3
TRI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |