Mexicali FC vs Real Apodaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
12º
12º
20
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 0
MFC
69%
20%
11%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 2
EST
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
4 - 0
MFC
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
MIN
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
LCU
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 1
MIN
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 4
DUR
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
RAF
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 3
RAF
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 0
TDA
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |