Mexicali FC vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
75.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
10º
9º
10
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MFC
82%
12%
5%
|
24 | 60 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
NAY
6%
14%
80%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
MFC
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
EST
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
6 - 0
MFC
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
LEO
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
LCU
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSI
2 - 1
MIN
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 0
HDZ
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 2
CFC
44%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |