Mexicali FC vs Colima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
18º
16º
24
5º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
58 | 75 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 49 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
74.5% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
MFC
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 2
COR
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GAV
5 - 1
MFC
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 3
CFC
13%
21%
67%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CFO
1 - 0
MFC
13%
17%
70%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
MIN
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 0
COL
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
TRI
36%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
COL
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |