Meuselwitz vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meuselwitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
5 - 2
MEU
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BUD
0 - 2
MEU
32%
28%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MEU
4 - 0
BDR
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MAG
2 - 1
MEU
74%
17%
8%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MEU
2 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
GER
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BDR
0 - 0
ERZ
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ERZ
3 - 0
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERZ
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ERZ
0 - 1
LOK
24%
24%
51%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |