Metz vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
RED
1 - 2
MET
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
GRE
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
GAZ
0 - 2
MET
21%
26%
52%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AUX
0 - 0
MET
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
PFC
0 - 0
VAL
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
VAL
5 - 6
BEZ
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
LEN
0 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |