Metz vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
LMU
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
REI
3 - 0
MET
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
TRO
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
LHA
1 - 1
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
STL
0 - 0
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
USB
2 - 0
LMU
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
NAN
3 - 3
USB
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
USB
1 - 1
SED
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
USB
0 - 2
LEN
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
USB
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |