Metz vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
LMU
0 - 0
MET
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
MET
3 - 3
CLE
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 0
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
MET
0 - 1
GRE
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
DIJ
2 - 1
MET
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
USB
3 - 2
TOU
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
REI
4 - 1
USB
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
USB
0 - 1
VAN
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
NAN
1 - 2
USB
46%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
USB
2 - 0
TRO
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |