Metz vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ANG
0 - 1
MET
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
MET
1 - 5
PSG
6%
14%
80%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
MET
0 - 1
MON
10%
16%
74%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 0
MET
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 1
MPL
32%
26%
41%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 0
TFC
31%
27%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 0
PFC
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 1
TRO
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 1
NAN
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |