Metz vs Tours analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
LUZ
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
LPS
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VAN
1 - 2
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
MET
3 - 2
SED
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
USB
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
TOU
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 2
NAN
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 0
TOU
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 3
LHA
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 2
NIO
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |