Metz vs Tours analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 0
MET
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MET
2 - 5
GUI
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
ANG
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 2
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 1
LMU
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 3
TOU
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SED
3 - 0
TOU
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
TOU
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |