Metz vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 2
MET
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 1
ASN
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
5 - 1
MET
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 3
PSG
8%
17%
75%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
CAE
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 1
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
TFC
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 1
TFC
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |