Metz vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
ASS
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -3 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
MET
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 2
ETG
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
REI
0 - 0
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 1
GIR
34%
27%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
TFC
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 6
MAR
32%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASS
35%
28%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PSG
3 - 1
TFC
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |