Metz vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
MET
1 - 0
AMI
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
FCM
0 - 1
MET
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
GRE
0 - 0
MET
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
MET
4 - 0
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
TFC
3 - 1
LOR
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
TFC
3 - 1
VCH
82%
14%
4%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
TFC
2 - 0
REI
59%
25%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
FCG
0 - 1
TFC
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
TFC
1 - 2
AMI
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |