Metz vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 0
MET
30%
28%
41%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
STR
0 - 0
MET
28%
29%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
MET
3 - 2
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
MET
0 - 2
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
TFC
4 - 2
NAN
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
REN
2 - 1
TFC
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1985 |
TFC
1 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |