Metz vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1983 |
STL
1 - 0
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
MET
0 - 1
STR
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
GIR
1 - 1
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 1
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
1 - 0
BRE
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 1
TFC
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
1 - 3
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
STL
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
3 - 1
NAN
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |