Metz vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
MET
1 - 4
HSV
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
REN
2 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
MET
7 - 3
FCR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 1
MET
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1968 |
MET
2 - 0
VAL
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
RED
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BAS
2 - 1
STR
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1968 |
STR
2 - 2
LYO
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1968 |
STR
3 - 1
NAN
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1968 |
ASS
4 - 0
STR
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |