Metz vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1986 |
MET
3 - 0
LHA
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
NIC
2 - 0
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
MET
2 - 0
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
GIR
3 - 1
MET
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
SOC
4 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
REN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 3
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |