Metz vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1985 |
SOC
1 - 2
MET
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
MET
4 - 1
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1985 |
PSG
2 - 1
MET
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
MET
3 - 1
ASN
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 1
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
STR
1 - 1
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1985 |
REN
1 - 0
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
SPO
2 - 2
SOC
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
LHA
4 - 3
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |