Metz vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
35%
28%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1995 |
MET
0 - 3
PSG
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 0
MET
26%
29%
46%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
MET
2 - 0
GIR
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
NIC
0 - 1
MET
39%
28%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
ASS
0 - 0
REN
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1995 |
STR
3 - 1
ASS
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEN
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
LHA
2 - 2
ASS
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
ASS
0 - 2
MPL
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |