Metz vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1986 |
MET
0 - 1
AUX
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ASN
0 - 0
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
STL
1 - 1
MET
37%
29%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASS
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 1
BRE
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
AUX
3 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
STL
54%
28%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
MON
0 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |