Metz vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
MET
3 - 0
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
MON
2 - 1
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
MET
4 - 2
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
AUX
4 - 2
MET
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
MET
0 - 0
PSG
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
IPS
3 - 1
ASS
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
5 - 1
MON
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
1 - 4
IPS
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASS
24%
29%
47%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ASS
3 - 2
LYO
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |