Metz vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ANG
3 - 1
MET
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MET
1 - 1
MPL
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
REN
1 - 2
MET
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
RAC
11 - 2
MET
81%
11%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1961 |
MET
1 - 1
SOC
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
5 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
2 - 0
REI
32%
22%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
FCR
3 - 1
ASS
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
ASN
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ANG
2 - 1
ASS
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |