Metz vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
STR
2 - 1
MET
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
MET
5 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
MET
3 - 2
STL
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
TFC
2 - 1
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
MET
1 - 2
PSG
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
FCR
1 - 1
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
LYO
0 - 4
FCR
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
FCR
2 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
GIR
3 - 2
FCR
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
FCR
4 - 2
FCM
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |