Metz vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
MON
4 - 0
MET
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
4 - 0
MET
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
ASN
0 - 0
MET
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MET
1 - 0
LYO
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
FCR
0 - 0
NAN
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
NIC
6 - 1
FCR
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
LYO
4 - 0
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
FCR
0 - 3
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
4 - 1
FCR
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |