Metz vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 1
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
MET
1 - 1
LYO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1968 |
HSV
3 - 2
MET
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
NÎM
0 - 0
MET
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
MET
2 - 0
STR
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
NÎM
0 - 0
RED
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
RED
1 - 1
BAS
51%
23%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
REN
1 - 1
RED
71%
18%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
RED
1 - 2
LYO
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
RED
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |