Metz vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
10º
3º
29
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
40.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
52% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 0
MET
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ANN
0 - 0
MET
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
RAO
0 - 1
MET
5%
14%
81%
|
80 | 37 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
MET
36%
27%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
AJA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 0
PAU
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAU
3%
8%
89%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PAU
4 - 1
RED
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
PAU
4%
11%
85%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |