Metz vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
10º
3º
43
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
41.5% | 49.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
54.5% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 0
MET
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MET
0 - 0
PAU
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 0
MET
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ANN
0 - 0
MET
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
1 - 0
AMI
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
1 - 2
FCM
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 0
PFC
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 2
PFC
20%
28%
52%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 0
ANN
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |