Metz vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
SOC
2 - 2
MET
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1986 |
MET
6 - 1
REN
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
60%
23%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
MET
3 - 0
LIL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 0
MET
34%
30%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1986 |
MAR
4 - 0
PSG
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
PSG
0 - 1
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 0
PSG
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
PSG
2 - 3
TFC
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |