Metz vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
MET
2 - 4
ORL
66%
22%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LMU
0 - 1
MET
12%
19%
69%
|
67 | 22 | 45 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
PFC
74%
19%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
FCR
1 - 0
MET
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
RED
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LYO
3 - 0
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 2
ETG
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 0
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 1
PSG
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |