Metz vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
ASN
2 - 2
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
MET
1 - 0
AUX
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
MET
4 - 0
MPL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
76%
15%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1982 |
NIC
0 - 2
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
TOU
2 - 1
NIC
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
STL
5 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |