Metz vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
MPL
2 - 0
MET
55%
21%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
MET
0 - 1
REN
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
MET
0 - 1
FCR
53%
23%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
REI
5 - 3
MET
83%
11%
7%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
MET
4 - 0
BEZ
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
NIC
1 - 3
NÎM
49%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
TFC
3 - 1
NIC
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
NIC
3 - 1
ASN
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
NIC
4 - 0
LHA
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1961 |
REI
3 - 0
NIC
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |