Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-3
Metz vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
MET
3 - 2
ANG
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
REN
2 - 0
MET
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1969 |
MET
2 - 2
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
RED
3 - 1
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1969 |
ASS
2 - 0
MET
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
VIC
3 - 2
NAP
42%
30%
28%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
NAP
3 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
NAP
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
NAP
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
NAP
2 - 1
PIS
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |