Metz vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
MET
2 - 1
TFC
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
GIR
1 - 1
MET
59%
24%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
MAR
3 - 0
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
CAE
4 - 1
MET
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
MET
1 - 2
LYO
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1991 |
NAN
0 - 0
GIR
44%
30%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
MON
2 - 1
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
NAN
0 - 0
LIL
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
NAN
2 - 2
NIC
60%
25%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
AUX
0 - 2
NAN
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |