Metz vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
RAC
2 - 0
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
MET
2 - 1
ASS
61%
21%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
STL
3 - 0
MET
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
MET
3 - 1
LIL
68%
19%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
SPO
1 - 0
MET
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
NAN
0 - 1
NIC
63%
23%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
NAN
1 - 2
STL
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
RAC
2 - 2
NAN
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
NAN
2 - 3
ASS
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
BRE
0 - 0
NAN
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |