Metz vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
ASS
4 - 0
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
MET
0 - 1
SED
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SOC
5 - 2
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
MET
0 - 0
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1968 |
GIR
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
NAN
0 - 1
RED
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
GIR
1 - 1
NAN
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
NAN
3 - 0
BAS
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
NAN
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1968 |
NAN
0 - 1
FCR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |