Metz vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
LUS
1 - 1
MET
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MET
1 - 2
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
REI
0 - 2
MET
23%
28%
50%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ASB
1 - 2
MET
22%
28%
50%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 2
MET
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 1
REI
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 2
LMU
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 2
ASN
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |