Metz vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 1
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 1
MET
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
MET
2 - 2
HKS
3%
29%
68%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
STR
1 - 0
ASN
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
ASN
0 - 0
REN
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
NAN
2 - 0
ASN
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
ASN
5 - 3
SPO
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |