Metz vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
SED
1 - 2
MET
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
MET
2 - 0
NIC
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
TRO
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
MET
2 - 0
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1973 |
GIR
3 - 1
MET
57%
25%
17%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
ASN
1 - 1
PFC
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
MON
3 - 3
ASN
40%
29%
32%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
ASN
0 - 1
SOC
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
MAR
2 - 2
ASN
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1973 |
ASN
2 - 2
REI
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |