Metz vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
76%
15%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 0
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
PSG
2 - 0
MET
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
MET
1 - 1
SOC
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
MON
2 - 1
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
GIR
4 - 1
MPL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1982 |
VAL
1 - 0
MPL
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
MPL
0 - 0
LYO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
MPL
2 - 1
NIC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
NAN
7 - 0
MPL
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |