Metz vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
REN
1 - 2
MET
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
RAC
11 - 2
MET
81%
11%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1961 |
MET
1 - 1
SOC
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1961 |
MET
2 - 2
SED
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1961 |
MET
0 - 2
SFP
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
MPL
2 - 1
RAC
29%
23%
48%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
MPL
3 - 2
NIC
45%
22%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
STR
1 - 2
MPL
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
LEN
5 - 1
MPL
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
MPL
3 - 1
REN
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |