Metz vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1968 |
GIR
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
MAR
0 - 1
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1968 |
MET
3 - 1
RED
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 1
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
MET
1 - 1
LYO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1968 |
MON
1 - 1
RED
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
BAS
4 - 0
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
MON
0 - 0
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
FCR
3 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
MON
0 - 0
NÎM
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |