Metz vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TFC
3 - 0
MET
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
MET
0 - 0
REI
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
FCG
0 - 2
MET
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
MET
1 - 1
LOR
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 0
MET
60%
22%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
IST
1 - 1
LOR
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
REI
1 - 3
LOR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
LYO
5 - 1
LOR
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
BAS
0 - 1
LOR
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |