Metz vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 0
MET
60%
22%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
MET
3 - 1
REN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
MET
2 - 3
SED
45%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
MON
2 - 2
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MET
2 - 0
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
LOR
2 - 2
MAR
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
GIR
3 - 0
LOR
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
NAN
2 - 0
LOR
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 1
SED
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
NÎM
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |