Metz vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1999 |
MET
2 - 0
CSL
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 0
MET
32%
29%
39%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
MET
1 - 0
GIR
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
MET
1 - 0
STR
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
MET
1 - 0
NAN
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 1
NAN
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
PFC
1 - 0
LOR
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
AUX
5 - 0
LOR
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
LOR
2 - 0
PSG
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |