Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
IST
0 - 0
MET
25%
29%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MET
1 - 1
VIL
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
MET
4 - 1
STR
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
UST
0 - 7
MET
11%
20%
70%
|
79 | 26 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 1
AUX
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
SED
2 - 0
LIL
24%
29%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
LIL
2 - 2
ASS
60%
24%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
ACM
0 - 2
LIL
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 3
LIL
34%
30%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |